Risk Scenario Planning with RightRisk Analytics

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THE Risk Scenario Planning tool provides a template for decision-makers to enter the financial effects of making proposed change(s) to their operation. It then adds the ability for the decision-maker to further refine estimates for input values as uncertain numbers. This produces a more robust analysis of the proposed change and a more thorough understanding of the possible outcomes if the change is implemented.

The Risk Scenario Planning tool tool is one of over 30 individual risk analysis tools developed by RightRisk and available free of charge at:RightRisk.org\Analytics.

RURAL TAX.org

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Tax issues are important for agricultural operations because income and self-employment taxes are a major cost and also because more and more USDA programs are linked to a producer’s federal income tax return.

Learn more about taxes and implications for agricultural businesses at: RuralTax.org/library.

What Are Risk Controls?

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RISK is uncertainty that matters. Future events are unknown to us due to two, separate and distinct factors: variability and uncertainty.

Variability means alternatives or different outcomes in the future purely due to the effects of chance. Uncertainty refers to our lack of knowledge about the future. One of the biggest hurdles to good decision making is the separation of variability and uncertainty.

Risk management can be generally defined as taking deliberate action to shape the variability of the outcomes, the consequences, or both for any management decision that might be made. This is accomplished by applying one or more risk controls.

A list of common risk controls is available at
RightRisk.org, see: RightRisk.org\controls.

¿Qué es un Formulario I-9 y quién lo necesita?

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EMPLOYERS must complete a Form I-9 for each person they hire to perform labor or services in the United States in return for wages or other remuneration. Employers use “Form I-9”, officially the Employment Eligibility Verification form, to verify the identity and legal authorization to work of all paid employees in the United States. The Form I-9 is not required for unpaid volunteers or for contractors.

Learn more via the recently completed 4-page, 4-color Ag Help Wanted UPDATE: ¿Qué es un Formulario I-9 y quién lo necesita?

Ag Help Wanted updates are available for download at: AgHelpWanted.org/updates.

Evaluating Pasture, Rangeland, Forage – Rainfall Index Coverage

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PASTURE, RANGELAND, FORAGE – Rainfall Index coverage (RI-PRF) is designed to offer protection against revenue losses resulting from decreased forage production, using a rainfall index to indicate low precipitation levels. The Risk Scenario Planning tool from RightRisk.org can, with a little creativity, be used to analyze expected net revenue under an RI-PRF policy. The resulting cumulative distribution graph provides the probability of earning a net return at or below any certain value. With this information in hand we can begin to answer questions like: “How effective is this coverage?” or “How often would it pay?”

For examples using the Risk Scenario Planning tool see Applied Risk Analytics “Evaluating Pasture, Rangeland, Forage – Rainfall Index Coverage” at: RightRisk.org\AppliedRiskAnalytics

The Risk Scenario Planning tool is one of over 30 individual risk analysis tools developed by RightRisk and available free of charge at: RightRisk.org\analytics.

The Enterprise Risk Analyzer is one of over 30 individual risk analysis tools developed by RightRisk and available free of charge at: RightRisk.org\analytics. RightRisk.org\Analytics.

Federal Reserve Beige Book Summary on the Ag Sector

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The Beige Book is a Federal Reserve System publication covering current economic conditions across the 12 Federal Reserve Districts. It characterizes regional economic conditions and prospects based on a variety of mostly qualitative information, gathered directly from District sources. The latest update was posted October 21st.

Click here to learn more…

Estimating Your Cost of Production

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HAVE you ever tried to estimate your cost of production for enterprises on your farm/ranch? It can be a daunting challenge. The Enterprise Risk Analyzer (ERA) tool can help evaluate farm/ranch enterprise performance, beginning with just an IRS Schedule F.

ERA analysis includes whole farm/ranch net return, enterprise net return, break-even prices, and breakeven yields. ERA also provides risk estimates based on user projections for commodity prices and yields. Providing probability estimates for earning a given level of net income, a break-even price, or a given break-even yield.

The Enterprise Risk Analyzer is one of over 30 individual risk analysis tools developed by RightRisk and available free of charge at: RightRisk.org\analytics. RightRisk.org\Analytics.